Increased plantings and yields will boost Russia’s grain crop to 94-96 MMT in 2013, an expert


Expanded plantings and risen yields may boost this year’s grain crop in Russia to 94-96 MMT against 70.9 MMT in 2012, Igor Pavensky, head of the market analysis department at LLC RusAgroTrans, believes.

This year’s planted area under grains is the largest since 2008, when it reached 47.55 Ml ha. According to spring data of the Russian State Statistics Service, almost 45.8 Ml ha was planted to grains for the 2013 harvest (including traditional pre-harvest loss of spring crops) against 44.4 Ml ha in 2012 and 43.57 Ml ha in 2011.

Plantings of spring crops totaled 30.9 Ml ha against 30.5 Ml ha in 2012. They increased mostly in the Central (+402 Th ha), Southern (+396 Th ha), North Caucasian (+215 Th ha) and Volga (+359 Th ha) federal districts, with a slight decrease registered in the Siberian federal district.

“Due to a substantial gain in plantings and high yields in the central Black Earth and Lower Volga regions, this year’s crop may reach at least 94 MMT, he said. – If yields in the eastern regions are at the average level, even 96 MMT can be expected.”

The expert had previously forecast the crop at 95-97 MMT. At the same time, he said that he sees no grounds for predicting the overall crop below 90 MMT.