Workshop: Price Forecasting, Spreading and Hedging Strategies

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THE VI INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE

BLACK SEA OIL TRADE – 2018

 LEARN, NETWORK & TRADE!

We invite you to join a Specialized Workshop:

PRICE FORECASTING, SPREADING AND HEDGING STRATEGIES

within the VI International Conference 'Black Sea Oil Trade’


Date: 19.09.2018,

Place: Aloft hotel, Kiev


Examine the art of forecasting grain and oilseed prices, spreading and applying right hedging strategies for your business. The workshop will be based on the US market forecast model (corn-soybean), adapting methodology for Ukrainian market.


Workshop speakers have over 20 years of experience in grain trading, global agricultural market analysis, risk management and development of effective business strategies.


The seminar will be useful for traders, agri producers and market analysts, will feature practical tasks and cases.

AGENDA


9.30 - 11.30  Session 1.

Grain Supply Forecast. Corn/Soybean Price Ratio (USA Model) as a sample.

Speaker - Paul McAuliffe, President, WCA Corp. USA

  • Analysis of the Commodities Price Ratio and its Impact on Farmers’ Planting Decision.
  • Crop Structure by Profitability. North Dakota as a sample (HRS Wheat, Corn and Soy)
  • Price ratio as indicator of area/crop structure
  • Possible application of the USA Model (corn/soybean) to the Black Sea countries

Ukraine: Crop Structure by Profitability. Application of US Experience

Speaker - Yulia Garkavenko, Oilseed market expert, UkrAgroConsult

  • Ukrainian Model (Corn/sunseed, sunseed/soybean)
  • Actual crop structure in Ukraine and Profitability.
  • Price Ratio and Forecasts of the Farmers’ Planting Decision in 2018/19.

Discussions, Q&A


12.00 - 13.30  Session 2.

Spread Price Opportunity

Speakers:
- Independent expert, Ex-Senior Grain Trader, Continental Grain and ADM
- Paul McAuliffe, President, WCA Corp., USA

  • Why the spread price calculations are requested by analysts – calendar year spread, one commodity as a sample
  • Why is it so important - price spread correlation to the US S/D outlook
  • How to apply the results of the calculations in trade practice – samples and cases

Discussions, Q&A


14.30-17.00 Session 3.  

    Hedging Strategies

Speakers:
- Independent expert, Ex-Senior Grain Trader, Continental Grain and ADM
- Paul McAuliffe, President, WCA Corp., USA


Current situation analysis and hedging influence over global, US, Black Sea S/Ds and commodity prices


Discussions, Q&A

REGISTRATION

*Participants of the ‘Black Sea Oil Trade’ conference are offered

10% discount for attending the workshop

Registration for  the VI International Conference

“Black Sea Oil Trade-2018” goes on!  

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