Argentina has 50% of its crop endangered, analyst says

12.12.2017

Pablo Adreani, an Argentinian analyst at AgriPac, a consultancy from Córdoba, affirmed this weekend that the remaning acres that need to be planted in Argentina are threatened by the lack of rain. According to the Buenos Aires Cereal Exchange, soybean sowing reached 53% of the estimated surface and the planting of corn got to 4o% of the projected area. The weather forecast there will be no rain in most Argentinian regions in the last 15 days of December.

“This week, if there is not important rains, there will be only two weeks in which we could plant. This situation is extraordinary and could be a lethal factor to the market”, said Pablo Adreani in his column at Buenos AIres prominent newspaper La Nación. One of the exceptions is the region of Rio Cuarto, Córdoba, which will have some precipitation in the last days of the year, according to the current weather forecast. “We are in a full weather market and, if there no miracle, we will see a brand new situation in the country. Nearly 50% of the hectares planted in the summer are at stake,” reads his column.

Pablo Adreani yet forecasts that there will be a strong volatility in the market in the coming days. “There is no doubt that we will have from now one of the most volatile and extraordinary markets, which would be impossible to foresse prices. While that happens, the farmer continues to be ‘sat’ on soybeans,” said the analyst referring to the 12 million metric tons of soybeans stocks in Argentina. Farmers await for a gradual reduction of soybean taxes in the coming year to sell.


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