EU wheat crop to rise to 138 mln. tonnes in 2014

08.01.2014

Within the EU, soft wheat production is set to increase by a combined 5.8 million tonnes in the UK, Sweden and Denmark, in contrast to a combined 2.4-million-tonne fall expected in Germany, France, Spain, Poland, the Czech Republic and Southeast Europe, Strategie Grains said in a monthly report.

Soft wheat production in the European Union should rise 2 percent in 2014 to 138.0 million tonnes, supported by an increase in the area sown by farmers, analyst Strategie Grains said in its first full forecasts for next year's grain harvest.

The analyst said it estimated the soft wheat area in the EU would increase by 4 percent, outweighing a projected 1 percent fall in average yield.

Within the EU, soft wheat production is set to increase by a combined 5.8 million tonnes in the UK, Sweden and Denmark, in contrast to a combined 2.4-million-tonne fall expected in Germany, France, Spain, Poland, the Czech Republic and Southeast Europe, Strategie Grains said in a monthly report.

Barley production in the EU is forecast to drop sharply next year, losing 8 percent to 54.5 million tonnes, as the area sown and the average yield are expected to drop by 4 percent, the analyst said.

The overall drop in output would include a combined 4.1-million-tonne decrease in Germany, Spain, the UK and Romania.

Weather in the coming days should remain favourable for the development of winter cereal crops, it said, adding that dry conditions in the Iberian peninsula needed to be monitored.

For grain maize, which is sown exclusively in spring, the analyst projected a 2014 crop of 64.7 million tonnes, virtually unchanged from 64.5 million this year.

The 2014 forecast took into account a combined 2.2-million-tonne decrease for Romania and Bulgaria and a total 2.4-million-tonne increase for France, Germany, Hungary and Italy.

The estimate for the 2013 harvest, which is in its final stages, was revised down by 300,000 tonnes from last month due to downward adjustments in Germany, Austria and France, Strategie Grains said.


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