Livestock sector in Belarus to prevent a reduction of meal imports from Ukraine in 2018/19 season

20.03.2018

Belarus managed to harvest 603 KMT of rapeseed in the 2017/18 season. This was not its all-time record, but exceeded the five-year average of 550 KMT by almost 10%. Noteworthy, UkrAgroConsult initially estimated the 2017 rapeseed crop in Belarus at 605-610 KMT.

Apart from a rape acreage expansion (up 110.2 Th ha on the year), the 2017/18 season witnessed a yield rise to a nearly record 1.81 MT/ha.

As a reminder, Ukraine plays a key role in supplying oil-meals to the Belarusian market. Over 91% of sunflower meal purchased by Belarus comes from Ukraine.

While the cattle inventory has been staying within 4.3-4.4 Th head since 2011, a greater advance is seen in the country’s poultry population as the top oil-meal consumer and rapeseed production driver. So, the Belarusian poultry inventory increased by 27% in 2011-2017. This trend prompts crop growers to step up rapeseed production.

Belarus attempts to “clear a new height” in rapeseed production in the new 2018/19 season: its government has set a record target of 780 KMT.

However, in view of the upward trend in the Belarusian livestock sector, such a rise in rapeseed production will be not enough to fully meet its growing need for feeds and reduce the nation’s dependence on foreign oil-meals.

Full version of the article is available to subscribers for weekly market reports “Black Sea Vegoils” by UkrAgroConsult.

 

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